Score 7.7 (out of 10): NETFLIX INC indicates to return +22.5% rally in 3 months


What’s Going On Here?

NETFLIX is betting big on local productions to draw audiences. In December, the platform will release several new original shows. Going forward, NETFLIX will also release a weekly list of its most-watched programs, providing more visibility for analysts covering the stock. The company has become as valuable as long standing entertainment company Disney.

Why Now?

NETFLIX INC appears to have reached a potential bottom. During similar occasions, NETFLIX INC shares had a median return of +22.5%, over the following 3 months – based on 10 historical occasions with 6 of those showing positive returns (60%). This buy signal for NETFLIX INC received a high score of 7.7 (out of 10). This insight was generated on 2021-December-3 with last price of 616.47.

What’s This Company About?

NETFLIX INC is in the Internet Content-Entmnt business. Based on the last 2 years’ risk/return profile, this asset is seen as Less Risky. ‘Wall Street’ analysts think the stock price will be worth 11% more (average). Ticker symbol: NFLX US.

What’s My Risk / Reward and Time Horizon?

We found 3 months to be the optimal trade horizon, after testing a number of possible alternatives (accuracy of previous returns). Otherwise consider closing out this trade once the target level of 755.35 (+22.5%) has been reached. Based on NETFLIX INC’s recent up and down swings, LongShortBets suggests considering to set a stop loss level for this insight at 573.17 (last price at 616.47), which is equivalent to a -7% decline.

Returns during similar periods:

The chart above shows the previous returns (in %) based on similar setups with the most recent ‘insight’ shown under (1), the second most recent ‘insight’ shown under (2), etc. 

Previous episodes:

30% (July-2021), -2.8% (March-2021), 19.2% (March-2020), 25.9% (September-2019), -13.2% (July-2019), 39.3% (December-2018), -0.6% (October-2018), -2.8% (July-2018), 76.5% (December-2017), 31% (September-2016).

Historical Chart:



Star (1 to 10)7.7
Time3 months
Hit Rate60%

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