Score 8.5 (out of 10): TWILIO sets up for +17.1 rally in 1 month

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What’s Going On Here?

Twilio is expected to report Q4 2021 results on Feb 9. Revenue is expected to have printed between $760-770m which would be an improvement of +40.3% compared to a year ago.

Why Now?

TWILIO INC – A has triggered a new high volatility signal (1 month). During similar occasions, TWILIO INC – A shares had a median return of +17.1%, over the following 1 month – based on 10 historical occasions with 9 of those showing positive returns (90%). This buy signal for TWILIO INC – A received a high score of 8.5 (out of 10). This insight was generated on 2022-February-7 with last price of 195.78.

What’s This Company About?

TWILIO INC – A is in the Computer Software business. Based on the last 2 years’ risk/return profile, this asset is seen as Very Risky. ‘Wall Street’ analysts think the stock price will be worth +68% (average).

What’s My Risk / Reward and Time Horizon?

We found 1 month to be the optimal trade horizon, after testing a number of possible alternatives (accuracy of previous returns). Otherwise consider closing out this trade once the target level of 229.34 (+17.1%) has been reached. Based on TWILIO INC – A’s recent up and down swings, LongShortBets suggests considering to set a stop loss level for this insight at 193.28 (last price at 195.78), which is equivalent to a -1.3% decline.

Returns during similar periods:

The chart above shows the previous returns (in %) based on similar setups with the most recent ‘insight’ shown under (1), the second most recent ‘insight’ shown under (2), etc. 

Previous episodes:

2.9% (October-2021), 6% (May-2020), 23.5% (March-2020), 25.6% (October-2018), 7.2% (August-2018), 10.8% (May-2018), 33.5% (February-2018), -0.6% (May-2017), 23.7% (August-2016), 53.6% (June-2016).

Historical Chart:

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Summary:

NameTWILIO
ViewUp
Star (1 to 10)8.5
Target+17.1%
Time1 month
Hit Rate90%

Popular Insights:

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