Score 8.6 (out of 10): HCA HEALTHCARE INC poised to seasonally rally by +11.5% during the next 60 days.


What’s Going On Here?

HCA is one of the nation’s leading providers of healthcare services comprising of 183 hospitals and 2,000 ambulatory sites of care. The company is building 3 new Florida hospitals as part of a $3bn investment. Deutsche Bank just upgraded the stock and sees +20% upside for 2022.

Why Now?

HCA HEALTHCARE INC indicates an interesting 60 days seasonal set up. During similar occasions, HCA HEALTHCARE INC shares had a median return of +11.5% – based on 10 historical occasions with 9 of those showing positive returns (90%). This buy signal for HCA HEALTHCARE INC received a high score of 8.6 (out of 10). This insight was generated with last price of 247.03.

What’s This Company About?

HCA HEALTHCARE INC is in the Medical-Hospitals business. Based on the last 2 years’ risk/return profile, this asset is seen as Less Risky. ‘Wall Street’ analysts think the stock price will be worth 13.5% more (average). Ticker symbol: HCA US.

What’s My Risk / Reward and Time Horizon?

We found 60 days to be the optimal trade horizon, after testing a number of possible alternatives (accuracy of previous returns). Otherwise consider closing out this trade once the target level of 275.43 (+11.5%) has been reached. Based on HCA HEALTHCARE INC’s recent up and down swings, LongShortBets suggests considering to set a stop loss level for this insight at 231.93 (last price at 247.03), which is equivalent to a -6.1% decline.

Returns during similar periods:

The chart above shows the previous returns (in %) based on similar setups with the most recent ‘insight’ shown under (1), the second most recent ‘insight’ shown under (2), etc. 

Previous episodes:

7.6% (December-2021), 3.6% (December-2020), 16.6% (December-2019), 16.2% (December- 2018), 15.6% (December-2017), 0.8% (December-2016), -6.2% (December-2015), 8.6% (December-2014), 14.4% (December-2013), 19.6% (December-2012)

Historical Chart:



Star (1 to 10)8.6
Time60 days
Hit Rate90%

Popular Insights:

Leave a Reply