Score 8.6 (out of 10): T-MOBILE US INC poised to seasonally rally by +8.7% during the next 90 days.


What’s Going On Here?

T-MOBILE has surpassed its 2021 home broadband subscriber goal with 500,000 fixed wireless subscribers. The company’s CEO Mike Sievert said that his product team is firing on all cylinders and the team is seeing big jumps in net promoter scores compared to cable broadband.

Why Now?

T-MOBILE US INC indicates an interesting 90 days seasonal set up. During similar occasions, T-MOBILE US INC shares had a median return of +8.7% – based on 10 historical occasions with 8 of those showing positive returns (80%). This buy signal for T-MOBILE US INC received a high score of 8.6 (out of 10). This insight was generated with last price of 113.99.

What’s This Company About?

T-MOBILE US INC is in the Cellular Telecom business. Based on the last 2 years’ risk/return profile, this asset is seen as Less Risky. ‘Wall Street’ analysts think the stock price will be worth 48.6% more (average). Ticker symbol: TMUS US.

What’s My Risk / Reward and Time Horizon?

We found 90 days to be the optimal trade horizon, after testing a number of possible alternatives (accuracy of previous returns). Otherwise consider closing out this trade once the target level of 123.86 (+8.7%) has been reached. Based on T-MOBILE US INC’s recent up and down swings, LongShortBets suggests considering to set a stop loss level for this insight at 106.69 (last price at 113.99), which is equivalent to a -6.4% decline.

Returns during similar periods:

The chart above shows the previous returns (in %) based on similar setups with the most recent ‘insight’ shown under (1), the second most recent ‘insight’ shown under (2), etc. 

Previous episodes:

-2.7% (December-2021), 18.3% (December-2020), 8% (December-2019), 3.8% (December-2018), 8.6% (December-2017), 8.7% (December-2016), 24.3% (December-2015), 18.6% (December-2014), -1% (December-2013), 19.3% (December-2012)

Historical Chart:



Star (1 to 10)8.6
Time90 days
Hit Rate80%

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