Score 8.7 (out of 10): MASTERCARD sets up for +15.2% rally in 3 months

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What’s Going On Here?

Card payment giants Visa and Mastercard announced on Saturday (Mar 5) that they will suspend operations in Russia, the latest major US firms to join the business freeze-out of Moscow over its invasion of Ukraine.

Why Now?

MASTERCARD INC – A has triggered a new high volatility signal (2 month). During similar occasions, MASTERCARD INC – A shares had a median return of +15.2%, over the following 3 months – based on 10 historical occasions with 9 of those showing positive returns (90%). This buy signal for MASTERCARD INC – A received a high score of 8.7 (out of 10). This insight was generated on 2022-March-15 with last price of 335.

What’s This Company About?

MASTERCARD INC – A is in the Finance-Credit Card business. Based on the last 2 years’ risk/return profile, this asset is seen as Very Risky. Ticker symbol: MA US.

What’s My Risk / Reward and Time Horizon?

We found 3 months to be the optimal trade horizon, after testing a number of possible alternatives (accuracy of previous returns). Otherwise consider closing out this trade once the target level of 386.08 (+15.2%) has been reached. Based on MASTERCARD INC – A’s recent up and down swings, LongShortBets suggests considering to set a stop loss level for this insight at 320 (last price at 335), which is equivalent to a -4.5% decline.

Returns during similar periods:

The chart above shows the previous returns (in %) based on similar setups with the most recent ‘insight’ shown under (1), the second most recent ‘insight’ under (2), etc.

Previous episodes:

15.1% (November- 2021), 16.5% (April-2020), 0.1% (February-2020), 15.4% (December-2018), -4.1% (October-2018), 18.3% (April-2018), 20.2% (February-2018), 24.5% (December-2017), 8.9% (January-2016), 0.5% (October-2015).

Historical Chart:

Summary:

NameMASTERCARD INC
ViewUp
Star (1 to 10)8.7
Target+15.2%
Time3 months
Hist Rate90%

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