Score 8.8 (out of 10): MASTERCARD to seasonally rally by +6.8% during the next 90 days.


What’s Going On Here?

Visa and MASTERCARD are blocking financial institutions after Russia sanctions. Interestingly, a number of companies, from Netflix to Youtube to payment companies, are complying with these policies.

Why Now?

MASTERCARD INC – A indicates an interesting 90 days seasonal set up. During similar occasions, MASTERCARD INC – A shares had a median return of +6.8% – based on 9 historical occasions with 9 of those showing positive returns (100%). This buy signal for MASTERCARD INC – A received a high score of 8.8 (out of 10). This insight was generated with last price of 360.82.

What’s This Company About?

MASTERCARD INC – A is in the Finance-Credit Card business. Based on the last 2 years’ risk/return profile, this asset is seen as Very Risky. Ticker symbol: MA US.

What’s My Risk / Reward and Time Horizon?

We found 90 days to be the optimal trade horizon, after testing a number of possible alternatives (accuracy of previous returns). Otherwise consider closing out this trade once the target level of 385.36 (+6.8%) has been reached. Based on MASTERCARD INC – A’s recent up and down swings, LongShortBets suggests considering to set a stop loss level for this insight at 347.22 (last price at 360.82), which is equivalent to a -3.8% decline.

Returns during similar periods:

The chart above shows the previous returns (in %) based on similar setups with the most recent ‘insight’ shown under (1), the second most recent ‘insight’ under (2), etc.

Previous episodes:

2.8% (February-2021), 5.4% (February-2020), 11.5% (February-2019), 8.2% (February-2018), 9.9% (February-2017), 10.2% (February-2016), 0.5% (February-2015), 0.5% (February-2014), 11.3% (February-2013)

Historical Chart:


Star (1 to 10)8.8
Time90 days
Hist Rate100%


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