Score 8.8 (out of 10): MSCI INC poised to seasonally rally by +11.6% during the next 90 days.

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What’s Going On Here?

Analysts are expecting MSCI Inc to increase earnings by +27% YoY. While the earnings announcement date is still far away (January 27), some analysts are moving their expectations up. MSCI Inc had a net margin of 35% in the previous quarter.

Why Now?

MSCI INC indicates an interesting 90 days seasonal set up. During similar occasions, MSCI INC shares had a median return of +11.6% – based on 10 historical occasions with 8 of those showing positive returns (80%). This buy signal for MSCI INC received a high score of 8.8 (out of 10). This insight was generated with last price of 628.14.

What’s This Company About?

MSCI INC is in the Decision Support Softwar business. Based on the last 2 years’ risk/return profile, this asset is seen as Less Risky. ‘Wall Street’ analysts think the stock price will be worth 4.4% more (average). Ticker symbol: MSCI US.

What’s My Risk / Reward and Time Horizon?

We found 90 days to be the optimal trade horizon, after testing a number of possible alternatives (accuracy of previous returns). Otherwise consider closing out this trade once the target level of 701.18 (+11.6%) has been reached. Based on MSCI INC’s recent up and down swings, LongShortBets suggests considering to set a stop loss level for this insight at 581.14 (last price at 628.14), which is equivalent to a -7.5% decline.

Returns during similar periods:

The chart above shows the previous returns (in %) based on similar setups with the most recent ‘insight’ shown under (1), the second most recent ‘insight’ shown under (2), etc. 

Previous episodes:

-1.9% (December-2021), 10.2% (December-2020), 20.2% (December-2019), 16.8% (December-2018), 16.5% (December-2017), -1.1% (December-2016), 17.6% (December-2015), 5.5% (December-2014), 13% (December-2013), 5.1% (December-2012)

Historical Chart:

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Summary:

NameMSCI INC
ViewUp
Star (1 to 10)8.8
Target+11.6%
Time90 days
Hit Rate80%

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