Score 8.9 (out of 10): MICROSOFT CORP poised to seasonally rally by +8.3% during the next 90 days.


What’s Going On Here?

Microsoft has cut a small percentage of employees as the new fiscal year begins. This cost saving exercise should mildly improve the bottom line.

Why Now?

MICROSOFT CORP indicates an interesting 90 days seasonal set up. During similar occasions, MICROSOFT CORP shares had a median return of +8.3% – based on 9 historical occasions with 9 of those showing positive returns (100%). This buy signal for MICROSOFT CORP received a high score of 8.9 (out of 10). This insight was generated with last price of 253.67.

What’s This Company About?

MICROSOFT CORP is in the Applications Software business. Based on the last 2 years’ risk/return profile, this asset is seen as Moderate Risk. Ticker symbol: MSFT US.

What’s My Risk / Reward and Time Horizon?

We found 90 days to be the optimal trade horizon, after testing a number of possible alternatives (accuracy of previous returns). Otherwise consider closing out this trade once the target level of 274.77 (+8.3%) has been reached. Based on MICROSOFT CORP’s recent up and down swings, LongShortBets suggests considering to set a stop loss level for this insight at 241.87 (last price at 253.67), which is equivalent to a -4.7% decline.

Returns during similar periods:

The chart above shows the previous returns (in %) based on similar setups with the most recent ‘insight’ shown under (1), the second most recent ‘insight’ under (2), etc.

Previous episodes:

10.9% (July-2021), 11.4% (July-2020), 8.5% (July-2019), 11% (July-2018), 5.6% (July-2017), 2.2% (July-2016), 8.1% (July- 2015), 4.5% (July-2014), 23.5% (July-2013)

Historical Chart:


Star (1 to 10)8.9
Time90 days
Hit Rate100%


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