Score 8.9 (out of 10): TRACTOR SUPPLY COMPANY sets up for +19.5% rally in 3 months


What’s Going On Here?

TRACTOR SUPPLY is an American retail chain of stores that sells products for home improvement, agriculture, lawns and gardens in around 2,000 locations. The company generates $12.7bn in revenue with 46k employees.

Why Now?

TRACTOR SUPPLY COMPANY has triggered a new high volatility signal (3 month). During similar occasions, TRACTOR SUPPLY COMPANY shares had a median return of +19.5%, over the following 3 months – based on 9 historical occasions with 8 of those showing positive returns (89%). This buy signal for TRACTOR SUPPLY COMPANY received a high score of 8.9 (out of 10). This insight was generated on 2022-March-3 with last price of 214.66.

What’s This Company About?

TRACTOR SUPPLY COMPANY is in the Retail-Gardening Prod business. Based on the last 2 years’ risk/return profile, this asset is seen as Less Risky. ‘Wall Street’ analysts think the stock price will be worth +13% (average). Ticker symbol: TSCO US.

What’s My Risk / Reward and Time Horizon?

We found 3 months to be the optimal trade horizon, after testing a number of possible alternatives (accuracy of previous returns). Otherwise consider closing out this trade once the target level of 256.5 (+19.5%) has been reached. Based on TRACTOR SUPPLY COMPANY’s recent up and down swings, LongShortBets suggests considering to set a stop loss level for this insight at 205.76 (last price at 214.66), which is equivalent to a -4.1% decline.

Returns during similar periods:

The chart above shows the previous returns (in %) based on similar setups with the most recent ‘insight’ shown under (1), the second most recent ‘insight’ under (2), etc.

Previous episodes:

38.1% (May-2020), 51.2% (March-2020), -2.1% (October-2019), 19.5% (December- 2018), 17.5% (June-2018), 25.4% (April-2018), 9% (November-2016), 10.4% (September-2016), 26.6% (October-2014).

Historical Chart:


Star (1 to 10)8.9
Time3 months
Hist Rate89%


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