Score 9.1 (out of 10): MICROSOFT poised to seasonally rally by +4.6% during the next 30 days.


What’s Going On Here?

Kyndryl, the world’s largest IT infrastructure services provider, and Microsoft recently announced plans to expand the reach and impact of their global strategic partnership by helping customers expand and increase access to valuable mainframe data.

Why Now?

MICROSOFT indicates an interesting 30 days seasonal set up. During similar occasions, MICROSOFT shares had a median return of +4.6% – based on 9 historical occasions with 9 of those showing positive returns (100%). This buy signal for MICROSOFT received a high score of 9.1 (out of 10). This insight was generated with last price of 246.79.

What’s This Asset About?

MICROSOFT is in the Applications Software business. Based on the last 2 years’ risk/return profile, this asset is seen as Very Risky. Ticker symbol: MSFT US.

What’s My Risk / Reward and Time Horizon?

We found 30 days to be the optimal trade horizon, after testing a number of possible alternatives (accuracy of previous returns). Otherwise consider closing out this trade once the target level of 258.03 (+4.6%) has been reached. Based on MICROSOFT’s recent up and down swings, LongShortBets suggests considering to set a stop loss level for this insight at 237.79 (last price at 246.79), which is equivalent to a -3.6% decline.

Returns during similar periods:

The chart above shows the previous returns (in %) based on similar setups with the most recent ‘insight’ shown under (1), the second most recent ‘insight’ under (2), etc.

Previous episodes:

4% (November-2021), 6.7% (November-2020), 1.8% (November-2019), 5.2% (November-2018), 2.5% (November-2017), 7.3% (November-2016), 5.1% (November-2015), 6.4% (November-2014), 0.2% (November-2013)

Historical Chart:


Star (1 to 10)9.1
Time30 days
Hit Rate100%

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