Score 9.2 (out of 10): MICROSOFT poised to seasonally rally by +5.6% during the month of July


What’s Going On Here?

MICROSOFT indicates an interesting seasonal (monthly for July) set up. During similar occasions, MICROSOFT shares had a median return of +5.6%, over the following 1 month – based on 9 historical occasions with 8 of those showing positive returns (89%). This buy signal for MICROSOFT received a high score of 9.2 (out of 10). This insight was generated with last price of 340.54.

MICROSOFT is in the Applications Software sector. 372.278137207031 Based on the last 2 years’ risk/return profile, this asset is seen as Very Risky. Ticker symbol: MSFT US.

Previous Signal Returns:

3.6% (July-2022), 7% (July-2021), 8.5% (July-2020), 2.1% (July-2019), 4.4% (July-2018), 5.6% (July-2017), 9.2% (July-2016), -1.1% (July-2015), 7.8% (July-2014)

We found 1 month to be the optimal trade horizon, after testing a number of possible alternatives (accuracy of previous returns). Otherwise consider closing out this trade once the target level of 359.54 (+5.6%) has been reached. Based on MICROSOFT’s recent up and down swings, LongShortBets suggests considering to set a stop loss level for this insight at 330.24 (last price at 340.54), which is equivalent to a -3% decline.

Historical Chart:


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