Score 9.4 (out of 10): MICROSOFT poised to seasonally rally by +8.8% during the next 90 days


What’s Going On Here?

MICROSOFT indicates an interesting 90 days seasonal set up. During similar occasions, MICROSOFT shares had a median return of +8.8% – based on 9 historical occasions with 9 of those showing positive returns (100%). This buy signal for MICROSOFT received a high score of 9.4 (out of 10). This insight was generated with last price of 326.79.

MICROSOFT is in the Applications Software business. Based on the last 2 years’ risk/return profile, this asset is seen as Very Risky. Ticker symbol: MSFT US.

Previous Signal Returns:

8.6% (July-2022), 15.7% (July-2021), 18.7% (July-2020), 13% (July-2019), 7.9% (July-2018), 9.6% (July-2017), 3.5% (July-2016), 7.7% (July-2015), 9% (July-2014)

We found 90 days to be the optimal trade horizon, after testing a number of possible alternatives (accuracy of previous returns). Otherwise consider closing out this trade once the target level of 355.57 (+8.8%) has been reached. Based on MICROSOFT’s recent up and down swings, LongShortBets suggests considering to set a stop loss level for this insight at 317.89 (last price at 326.79), which is equivalent to a -2.7% decline.

Historical Chart:


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