Score 9.5 (out of 10): FINANCIAL SELECT SECTOR SPDR poised to seasonally rally by +5.2% during the month of July


What’s Going On Here?

FINANCIAL SELECT SECTOR SPDR indicates an interesting seasonal (monthly for July) set up. During similar occasions, FINANCIAL SELECT SECTOR SPDR shares had a median return of +5.2%, over the following 1 month – based on 9 historical occasions with 9 of those showing positive returns (100%). This buy signal for FINANCIAL SELECT SECTOR SPDR received a high score of 9.5 (out of 10). This insight was generated with last price of 32.8.

FINANCIAL SELECT SECTOR SPDR is in the Financial Services sector.  Based on the last 2 years’ risk/return profile, this asset is seen as Very Risky. Ticker symbol: XLF US.

Previous Signal Returns:

4.9% (July-2022), 5.4% (July-2021), 5.2% (July-2020), 2.4% (July-2019), 2.6% (July-2018), 7.4% (July-2017), 0.2% (July-2016), 6.2% (July-2015), 7.7% (July-2014)

We found 1 month to be the optimal trade horizon, after testing a number of possible alternatives (accuracy of previous returns). Otherwise consider closing out this trade once the target level of 34.51 (+5.2%) has been reached. Based on FINANCIAL SELECT SECTOR SPDR’s recent up and down swings, LongShortBets suggests considering to set a stop loss level for this insight at 32.1 (last price at 32.8), which is equivalent to a -2.1% decline.

Historical Chart:


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