Score 9.6 (out of 10): CME GROUP poised to seasonally rally by +10% during the next 90 days

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What’s Going On Here?

CME group has been named a top dividend stock with insider buying and 10.6% yield, according to a recent dividend report.

Why Now?

CME GROUP indicates an interesting 90 days seasonal set up. During similar occasions, CME GROUP shares had a median return of +10% – based on 9 historical occasions with 9 of those showing positive returns (100%). This buy signal for CME GROUP received a high score of 9.6 (out of 10). This insight was generated with last price of 178.83.

What’s This Asset About?

CME GROUP is in the Finance-Other Services business. Based on the last 2 years’ risk/return profile, this asset is seen as Very Risky. Ticker symbol: CME US.

What’s My Risk / Reward and Time Horizon?

We found 90 days to be the optimal trade horizon, after testing a number of possible alternatives (accuracy of previous returns). Otherwise consider closing out this trade once the target level of 196.73 (+10%) has been reached. Based on CME GROUP’s recent up and down swings, LongShortBets suggests considering to set a stop loss level for this insight at 174.23 (last price at 178.83), which is equivalent to a -2.6% decline.

Returns during similar periods:

The chart above shows the previous returns (in %) based on similar setups with the most recent ‘insight’ shown under (1), the second most recent ‘insight’ under (2), etc.

Previous episodes:

5.7% (January-2022), 10.8% (January-2021), 10.4% (January-2020), 3.7% (January-2019), 11.3% (January-2018), 12.7% (January-2017), 5.6% (January-2016), 10.5% (January-2015), 9.6% (January-2014)

Historical Chart:

Summary:

NameCME Group
ViewUp
Star (1 to 10)9.6
Target+10.0%
Time90 days
Hit Rate100%

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