Score 9 (out of 10): VIPSHOP HOLDINGS poised to seasonally rally by +15.2% during the next 30 days.

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What’s Going On Here?

VIPSHOP has become a compelling value opportunity, some argue. The company works with 20,000 brand partners. The shares have corrected due the delisting, VIE ban and regulatory overhang.

Why Now?

VIPSHOP HOLDINGS LTD – ADR indicates an interesting 30 days seasonal set up. During similar occasions, VIPSHOP HOLDINGS LTD – ADR shares had a median return of +15.2% – based on 10 historical occasions with 9 of those showing positive returns (90%). This buy signal for VIPSHOP HOLDINGS LTD – ADR received a high score of 9 (out of 10). This insight was generated with last price of 10.05.

What’s This Company About?

VIPSHOP HOLDINGS LTD – ADR is in the E-Commerce/Products business. Based on the last 2 years’ risk/return profile, this asset is seen as Very Risky. Ticker symbol: VIPS US.

What’s My Risk / Reward and Time Horizon?

We found 30 days to be the optimal trade horizon, after testing a number of possible alternatives (accuracy of previous returns). Otherwise consider closing out this trade once the target level of 11.58 (+15.2%) has been reached. Based on VIPSHOP HOLDINGS LTD – ADR’s recent up and down swings, LongShortBets suggests considering to set a stop loss level for this insight at 7.55 (last price at 10.05), which is equivalent to a -24.9% decline.

Returns during similar periods:

The chart above shows the previous returns (in %) based on similar setups with the most recent ‘insight’ shown under (1), the second most recent ‘insight’ shown under (2), etc. 

Previous episodes:

23.2% (February-2022), 23.4% (February-2021), 4% (February-2020), 16% (February-2019), 12.5% (February-2018), 8.7% (February-2017), 14.4% (February-2016), 42.6% (February-2015), 27.7% (February-2014), 0% (February-2013)

Historical Chart:

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Summary:

NameVIPSHOP HOLDINGS LTD – ADR
ViewUp
Star (1 to 10)9.0
Target+15.2%
Time30 days
Hit Rate90%

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